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中国制造业转型升级发展的评价指标体系及综合指数

Evaluation Index System and Comprehensive Index of China’s Manufacturing Industry’s Transformation and Upgrading Development

  • 摘要: 以现有文献为基础,梳理了制造业转型升级的测度方法和测度指标以及相关研究,从质量效益、创新能力、信息技术和绿色发展四个方面,构建了制造业转型升级的综合评价指标体系以及综合指数。运用熵权法确定指标权重,依据2007-2016 年中国29 个省市区的面板数据,对中国制造业转型升级的发展水平进行测度,并对制造业转型升级的变化趋势以及各省市异质性特征进行分析。结果表明:影响中国制造业转型升级的主要因素依次是创新能力、质量效益、绿色发展和信息技术,这说明制造业在转型升级的过程中,当前最主要的还是依赖制造业的创新能力;中国制造业转型升级发展水平呈稳步上升趋势,为后续制造业转型升级奠定了较好的基础;中国各省市区制造业升级水平存在明显差异,总体而言,东部地区制造业转型升级发展水平指数高于中西部地区。

     

    Abstract: Based on the existing literature, this paper sorts out the relevant research progress of manufacturing transformation and upgrading measurement methods and measurement indicators, and builds a comprehensive evaluation index system for manufacturing transformation and upgrading from four aspects: quality and efficiency, innovation capability, information technology and green development. Then the paper determines the index weight based on the entropy weight method, and uses the panel data of 29 provinces and municipalities in 2007-2016 to measure the development level of China’s manufacturing transformation and upgrading. It also analyzes the changing trend of manufacturing transformation and upgrading and the heterogeneity of each province and city. The results show that the main factors affecting the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry are innovation ability, quality efficiency, green development and information technology. This shows that in the process of transformation and upgrading of China’s manufacturing industry, the most important thing is to rely on the innovation ability of manufacturing industry; From 2007 to 2016, the level of China’s manufacturing transformation and upgrading has shown a steady upward trend, laying a good foundation for the subsequent transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry; There are significant differences in the level of manufacturing upgrading in various provinces and municipalities in China. In general, the index of development and upgrading of manufacturing in the eastern region is higher than that in the central and western regions.

     

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