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新质生产力影响新型城镇化建设的理论机制与实证检验

Theoretical Mechanisms and Empirical Tests of How New Quality Productive Forces Influence the Development of New Urbanization

  • 摘要: 立足高质量发展阶段,加快发展新质生产力,是推进中国式新型城镇化建设的必然要求。选取2010—2024年全国262个城市作为样本,实证考察新质生产力对新型城镇化建设的驱动效应。结果显示,新质生产力能够有效助推新型城镇化建设,稳健检验后该结论依旧可靠;中介检验证实,新质生产力通过提升人力资本质量和城市精细化治理能力两条路径赋能新型城镇化建设;异质性结果表明,东部城市、大型城市与高新质生产力水平城市的赋能效果更为突出。据此,需持续培育壮大新质生产力,进一步优化人力资本,提升城市治理能力,因地制宜出台配套政策,构建新质生产力引领新型城镇化的长效发展格局。

     

    Abstract: In the context of high-quality development, accelerating the advancement of new quality productive forces is an essential requirement for promoting China's distinctive model of new urbanization. This study examines the driving effect of new quality productive forces on new urbanization across 262 cities nationwide from 2010 to 2024. The results demonstrate that new quality productive forces significantly propel new urbanization, a conclusion reinforced by robust statistical testing. Mediation analysis confirms that these forces empower new urbanization through two pathways: Enhancing human capital quality and improving urban governance capabilities. Heterogeneity analysis reveals particularly pronounced effects in eastern cities, major metropolitan areas, and cities with advanced levels of new quality productive forces. Therefore, it is imperative to continuously cultivate and strengthen new quality productive forces, further optimize human capital, enhance urban governance capabilities, implement tailored policies, and establish a sustainable framework where new quality productive forces drive new urbanization.

     

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