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政策与市场工具赋能集成电路企业“三链”融合的路径研究基于NCA与动态fsQCA的组态分析

Configurational Paths of Policy and Market Tools in Promoting the Integration of "Three Chains" for IC Enterprises: An Analysis Based on NCA and Dynamic fsQCA

  • 摘要: 正确处理政府与市场关系,实现集成电路企业产业链、创新链和人才链(简称“三链”)深度融合,是全链条推动集成电路领域关键核心技术突破的关键。以2016—2023年全国99家集成电路A股上市公司为样本,基于多时段定性比较分析方法,探索政策与市场工具促进企业“三链”融合的组态路径。研究发现:(1)我国集成电路企业“三链”融合整体处于中低协调阶段,区域发展不均衡,各子系统存在明显短板;(2)单一工具无法触发高水平融合,需通过政策与市场工具非线性组合驱动,路径可归纳为“政策−信贷”协同型、“政策−风投”协同型、“政策−基金”协同型和市场融资主导型四类典型模式;(3)两个时段动态对比揭示了政府引导基金由前期的边缘辅助要素跃迁为后期的核心驱动条件,驱动组态趋于集中收敛;(4)驱动路径具有显著的情境异质性与跨期演进特征。在产业链维度,上游企业由早期“政策−风投”协同向“政策−基金”协同跃迁,中下游则呈现多元复合特征;在企业规模维度,大型企业呈现向“市场融资主导型”演化的全能型特征,而中小型企业则表现出强烈的“政策−信贷”协同路径锁定效应。

     

    Abstract: Properly managing the relationship between government and market, and achieving deep integration of the industrial chain, innovation chain, and talent chain (hereinafter referred to as the "three chains") for integrated circuit enterprises, it is crucial for advancing breakthroughs in key core technologies across the entire value chain. This study takes 99 A-share listed integrated circuit companies nationwide from 2016 to 2023 as a sample and employs a multi-period qualitative comparative analysis method to explore configurational pathways through which policy and market instruments promote enterprise integration of the "three chains". The findings reveal: (1) Overall, the integration of the "three chains" among China's integrated circuit enterprises remains at a medium-to-low coordination level, with uneven regional development and significant shortcomings in subsystems; (2) Single tools cannot trigger high-level integration-instead, nonlinear combinations of policy and market instruments are required, leading to four typical models: Policy-credit synergy, policy-venture capital synergy, policy-fund synergy, and market-financing dominance; (3) Dynamic comparison across two periods shows that government-guided funds have evolved from marginal supporting factors in the early stage to core driving forces in the later stage, resulting in increasingly concentrated and convergent driving configurations; (4) The driving pathways exhibit significant contextual heterogeneity and intertemporal evolution. In terms of the industrial chain dimension, upstream enterprises transition from early-stage "policy-venture capital synergy" to "policy-fund synergy", while mid- and downstream enterprises display diverse and complex characteristics. In terms of enterprise scale, large enterprises show a comprehensive trend toward "market-financing dominance," whereas small and medium-sized enterprises exhibit strong path dependence on "policy-credit/venture capital synergy".

     

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