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算力基础设施能否驱动减污降碳协同治理?基于中国城市样本的经验证据

Can Computing Infrastructure Promote Coordinated Governance of Pollution Reduction and Carbon Mitigation?—Empirical Evidence from Chinese Cities

  • 摘要: 基于中国城市面板数据,系统考察算力基础设施对减污降碳协同治理的影响机制与空间效应。研究发现:首先,算力基础设施对减污降碳协同治理具有显著的促进作用,但进一步发现两者之间呈倒“U”形非线性关系,表明其环境效益存在阈值。其次,基于地理距离与经济距离两种权重矩阵的空间检验发现,算力基础设施对减污降碳协同治理的空间溢出效应在地理邻近维度上显著存在,但在经济相似维度上则不显著。再次,机制检验表明,算力基础设施通过促进绿色技术创新与推动产业结构升级两条关键路径,驱动减污降碳协同治理,进一步纳入环境规制强度与数字治理能力作为调节变量后,二者的调节效应主要体现在算力基础设施对绿色技术创新的影响路径。最后,异质性分析发现,算力基础设施的治理效应在非资源型城市和特大城市中更为突出。该研究为理解算力基础设施在环境治理中的系统性作用提供了实证依据,也为推动区域差异化、协同化的绿色低碳发展政策提供了有益参考。

     

    Abstract: This study investigates the impact mechanisms and spatial effects of computing infrastructure on the coordinated governance of pollution reduction and carbon mitigation using panel data from Chinese cities. The findings are as follows. First, computing infrastructure significantly promotes the coordinated governance of pollution reduction and carbon mitigation, though an inverted U-shaped nonlinear relationship is identified, indicating a threshold effect in its environmental benefits. Second, spatial econometric analyses based on both geographical distance and economic distance weight matrices reveal that the spatial spillover effects of computing infrastructure on coordinated governance are significant along the geographical proximity dimension but not along the economic similarity dimension. Third, mechanism tests demonstrate that computing infrastructure facilitates coordinated governance through two key pathways, namely promoting green technology innovation and upgrading industrial structure. Further moderation effect analysis indicates that environmental regulation intensity and digital governance capacity primarily moderate the pathway from computing infrastructure to green technology innovation. Fourth, heterogeneity analysis shows that the governance effects of computing infrastructure are more pronounced in non-resource-based cities and megacities. This paper provides empirical evidence for understanding the systematic role of computing infrastructure in environmental governance and offers insights for designing regionally differentiated and coordinated policies for green and low-carbon development.

     

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