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新兴科技赋能新质生产力发展的逻辑、困境与向路基于“低空经济”视角的纵向多案例分析

The Logic, Dilemmas and Pathways of New Technology Empowering the Development of New Quality Productive Forces—A Longitudinal Multi-Case Analysis from the Perspective of the Low-Altitude Economy

  • 摘要: 以新兴科技赋能新质生产力加速发展,是推动高质量发展的基础保障与可持续动力。针对现有研究较多关注于新兴科技创新本身,忽略了新兴科技赋能新质生产力属于两个复杂系统之间的赋能驱动,尤其是未能兼顾考量“十五五”规划纲要中“引领发展新质生产力”“不断催生新质生产力”的新指示要求,也未能给出具有可持续发展的赋能向路。针对上述问题,深入剖析新兴科技赋能新质生产力发展的复杂内部逻辑。通过借鉴涌现理论构建了统一的分析框架,明确二者的赋能符合双复杂系统赋能驱动特征,且受到“主体−限制−有向”的三个维度影响。研究剖析具有典型代表性的低空经济领域的纵向多案例开展分析,并验证统一分析框架。研究发现,新兴科技赋能新质生产力发展遵循“技术基础−技术优势−跨界合作−市场产品−市场需求−产业环节”的螺旋赋能逻辑。研究通过理论层面与实践层面的分析,疏解了阻碍当前发展的路径、技术、信息层面的困境问题,最终从三个方面提出九条具体的未来发展向路。

     

    Abstract: Empowering the accelerated development of new-quality productive forces through emerging technologies serve as a fundamental guarantee and a sustainable driving force for high-quality growth. Current research has largely focused on emerging technological innovation itself, overlooking the fact that empowering new-quality productive forces via emerging technologies represent an enabling dynamic between two complex systems. In particular, it has failed to adequately address the new directives outlined in the 15th Five Year Plan, "leading the development of new-quality productive forces" and "continuously fostering new-quality productive forces"—and has not provided sustainable pathways for such empowerment. To address these shortcomings, this study conducts an in-depth analysis of the intricate internal logic underlying the empowerment of new-quality productive forces by emerging technologies. Drawing on emergence theory, we establish a unified analytical framework demonstrating that this empowerment process conforms to the dual-complex-systems model and is influenced by three dimensions: "agent-restraint-directionality. "The study analyzes multiple representative cases within the low-altitude economy sector to validate the proposed framework. Findings reveal that empowerment follows a spiral logic: "technological foundation → technological advantage → cross-sector collaboration → market products → market demand → industrial linkages." Through theoretical and practical analyses, the study identifies and resolves current barriers at the pathway, technological, and informational levels, offering nine specific future pathways grouped into three key areas.

     

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