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数字政府建设能否提升税收优惠落实效果?基于“信息惠民”的准自然实验

Does Digital Government Enhance the Uptake of Tax Incentives?Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the "Information for the Benefit of the People" Pilot

  • 摘要: 在中国经济增速结构性放缓、减税降费纵深推进的双重背景下,数字政府建设是落实税收优惠的关键抓手。以“信息惠民”试点为准实验,运用2009—2016年税收调查数据,建立双重差分模型展开实证分析。研究发现,“信息惠民”试点显著提升了小型微利企业所得税优惠实际享受率,提升幅度达12.8%,直接惠及约2.32万家企业。机制检验表明,数字化治理经由数据聚合破壁垒、流程再造降成本、信息公开增信任、智能征管等方面共同作用。异质性分析发现,该政策效应在财政压力较小、市场化程度较低的地区更为突出;同时,民营企业、劳动和资本密集型行业的正向效应更为显著。建议加快数字化履职与信息基础设施建设,推行“免申即享”等智能数字化服务模式,强化数字税务跨部门协同,完善分税制以缓解基层财力约束,推动税收优惠落实的均等化与精准化。

     

    Abstract: Against the backdrop of China's structural growth slowdown and an intensified tax-cut agenda, digital government has become a pivotal instrument for ensuring that preferential tax regimes reach their intended beneficiaries. Exploiting the "Information for the Benefit of the People" national pilot as a quasi-experiment, this paper combines 2009—2016 nationwide Tax Survey micro-data with a difference-in-differences design. The pilot is found to raise the effective take-up rate of the small-and-micro-enterprise income-tax concession by 12.8 per cent, corresponding to roughly 23 200 firms. Mechanism tests reveal that digital governance operates through mutually reinforcing channels: data aggregation dismantling information barriers, and process reengineering, trimming institutional transaction costs, information disclosure enhancing trust, and intelligent tax administration. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the policy effects are more prominent in regions with lower fiscal pressure and lower degrees of marketization, while the positive effects are more significant among private enterprises as well as labor- and capital-intensive industries. Policy recommendations include accelerating digital governance capacity and information infrastructure development, promoting intelligent digital service modes such as "apply-free" tax incentives, strengthening cross-departmental digital tax coordination, improving the tax-sharing system to alleviate grassroots fiscal capacity constraints, and promoting the equalization and precision of tax incentive implementation.

     

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